92386 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 92386 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92386, ~33% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92386 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92386 leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.
92386 runs about 40 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92386 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 92386 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92386, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92386 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 78%, well above the California average of 58%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. 92386 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 92386, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 92386 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 92386 have completed high school, about 10 points above the California average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.