94510 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 71% of adults in 94510 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94510, ~41% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94510 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94510 leans more Democratic than 1 of 38 neighbors.
94510 runs about 5 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 94510. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 23 points.
Why 94510 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94510, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in 94510 hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 94510, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 94510 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 94510 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.