94804 is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 94804 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 94804, ~39% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 94804 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 94804 leans more Democratic than 49 of 87 neighbors.
94804 runs about 43 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 94804. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+56), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 94804 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 94804, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 96% of residents in 94804 live in densely developed areas, about 60 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 45% of adults in 94804 have never been married, above 92% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 94804, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 94804 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 94804 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in 94804 rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 94804 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.