95014 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 95014 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95014, ~39% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95014 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95014 leans more Democratic than 21 of 62 neighbors.
95014 runs about 11 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why 95014 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95014, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 82% of adults in 95014 hold a bachelor's degree, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 95014 sits in the top fifth on density (about 93%, above 90% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 95014, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 95014 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 40% of households in 95014 rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 95014 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in 95014 have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.