95017 is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 95017 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95017, ~45% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95017 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95017 leans more Democratic than 10 of 13 neighbors.
95017 runs about 34 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why 95017 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95017, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in 95017 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in 95017 have never been married, above 90% of zip codes.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 95017, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 95017 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in 95017 rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.