95236 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 70% of adults in 95236 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95236, ~21% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95236 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95236 leans more Republican than 14 of 20 neighbors.
95236 runs about 59 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95236 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95236. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 95236 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95236, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95236 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95236 runs about 59 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 95236 are family households, above 82% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 95236, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 95236 looks the way it does
Turnout in 95236 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.