95318 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 33% of adults in 95318 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95318, ~20% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95318 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95318 is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, 95318 sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95318. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+23) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 36 points.
Why 95318 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95318, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 42% of adults in 95318 hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in 95318 have never been married, above 96% of zip codes.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 95318, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 95318 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 56% of households in 95318 rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in 95318 have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.