95614 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 90% of adults in 95614 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95614, ~38% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95614 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95614 leans more Republican than 1 of 17 neighbors.
95614 runs about 36 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95614 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95614. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+24) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 95614 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95614, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95614 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95614 runs about 36 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 95614, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 95614 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 95614 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in 95614 own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in 95614 have completed high school, above 97% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.