95626 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 95626 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95626, ~19% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95626 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95626 leans more Republican than 42 of 44 neighbors.
95626 runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 95626 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 95626. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 12 points.
Why 95626 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 95626, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
95626 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 95626 runs about 54 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in 95626 are family households, above 84% of zip codes.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a high frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; 95626, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in 95626 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in 95626 have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.