97410 leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 90% of adults in 97410 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97410, ~27% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97410 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 97410 is the most Republican-leaning.
97410 runs about 55 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97410 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 97410 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97410, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
97410 votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97410 runs about 55 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 97410 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 86% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in 97410 are family households, above 97% of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 97410, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 97410 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 97410 own their home, about 19 points above the Oregon average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.