97430 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 97430 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97430, ~25% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97430 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 97430 leans more Republican than 2 of 5 neighbors.
97430 runs about 31 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97430 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 97430 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97430, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
97430 votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97430 runs about 31 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 97430 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 97% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 97430, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 97430 looks the way it does
Turnout in 97430 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.