Alligator leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Alligator typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alligator, ~48% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alligator compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alligator leans more Democratic than 36 of 55 neighbors.
Alligator runs about 72 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Alligator is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alligator. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+61) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 104 points.
Why Alligator leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alligator, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 72% of residents in Alligator are Black or African American, about 35 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Alligator have never been married, above 98% of cities. Alligator runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Alligator, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Alligator looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Alligator sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hillhouse, MS R+16
- Duncan, MS D+58
- Rena Lara, MS R+43
- Counts, MS R+4
- Sherard, MS R+33
- Roundaway, MS R+6
- Lombardy, MS D+53
- Rochdale, MS R+20
- Shelby, MS D+77
- Boone, MS Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prosper, MN R+36
- Fernbridge, CA Even
- Lamb, KY R+74
- Blanchard, ME R+38
- Kelsa, VA R+71
- Pine Orchard, AL R+4
- Pearl Grange, MI R+24
- Jonesboro Crossing, NC R+29
- Blue John, KY R+76
- White Oak Springs, WV R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.