Aumsville leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Aumsville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aumsville, ~26% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aumsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aumsville leans more Republican than 43 of 68 neighbors.
Aumsville runs about 50 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Aumsville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Aumsville. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Aumsville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aumsville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Aumsville votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Aumsville runs about 50 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Aumsville runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Aumsville are family households, above 80% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Aumsville, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Aumsville looks the way it does
Turnout in Aumsville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Santiam, OR R+45
- Shaw, OR R+34
- West Stayton, OR R+48
- Sublimity, OR R+31
- Stayton, OR R+13
- Turner, OR R+31
- Shelburn, OR R+40
- Four Corners, OR D+5
- Pratum, OR R+41
- Salem, OR D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cannon Falls, MN R+25
- Ardmore, AL R+53
- Windber, PA R+39
- Clermont, GA R+70
- Marlow Heights, MD D+83
- Fort Benning, GA R+32
- Medina, MN Even
- Prospect Park, NJ D+18
- Interlochen, MI R+15
- Rock Spring, GA R+67
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.