Aylmer is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Aylmer typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aylmer, ~14% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aylmer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aylmer leans more Republican than 9 of 17 neighbors.
Aylmer runs about 20 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Why Aylmer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aylmer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Aylmer sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 8 points above the North Dakota average of 87%.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Aylmer, ND does.
Why turnout in Aylmer looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Aylmer own their home, about 11 points above the North Dakota average of 80%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Anamoose, ND R+56
- Orrin, ND R+59
- Drake, ND R+56
- Balta, ND R+58
- Martin, ND R+67
- Selz, ND R+60
- Harvey, ND R+51
- Balfour, ND R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clyde, ND R+53
- Cloverton, MN R+25
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.