Bagdad is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Bagdad typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bagdad, ~20% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bagdad compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bagdad leans more Republican than 39 of 85 neighbors.
Bagdad runs about 21 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Bagdad leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Bagdad. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Bagdad, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Bagdad looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Bagdad own their home, about 15 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hatton, KY R+52
- Mulberry, KY R+41
- DeFoe, KY R+59
- Clay Village, KY R+50
- Pleasureville, KY R+56
- North Pleasureville, KY R+50
- Montclair, KY R+33
- Waddy, KY R+54
- Bridgeport, KY R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sherrills Ford, NC R+53
- Vici, OK R+78
- Moss Bluff, TX R+72
- Washington, KS R+51
- Fairview, UT R+63
- Middle Point, OH R+71
- Collins, OH R+52
- Foster, KY R+61
- Casstown, OH R+65
- Glen Spey, NY R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.