Bailey is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Bailey typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bailey, ~13% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bailey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bailey leans more Republican than 25 of 42 neighbors.
Bailey runs about 35 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bailey. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Bailey leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bailey, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Bailey are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bailey, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bailey looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Bailey own their home, about 14 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shucktown, MS R+57
- Pine Springs, MS R+69
- Daleville, MS R+11
- Klondike, MS R+15
- Collinsville, MS R+71
- Martin, MS R+73
- Marion, MS Even
- Schamberville, MS R+63
- Meridian, MS D+11
- Prismatic, MS D+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mignon, AL R+31
- West Stockbridge, MA D+58
- Dexter, KY R+60
- Goldsboro, MD R+48
- Pine Knoll Shores, NC R+22
- Pattonville, TX R+78
- Chilmark, MA D+68
- Alma, KS R+47
- Drakes Branch, VA R+28
- Great Cacapon, WV R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.