Baileyville is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Baileyville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baileyville, ~12% vote Democratic, ~71% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baileyville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baileyville leans more Republican than 26 of 29 neighbors.
Baileyville runs about 54 points more Republican than Kansas as a whole.
Why Baileyville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baileyville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Baileyville are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Baileyville, KS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baileyville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Baileyville own their home, about 18 points above the Kansas average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Axtell, KS R+62
- St. Benedict, KS R+70
- Seneca, KS R+59
- Centralia, KS R+67
- Vermillion, KS R+63
- Beattie, KS R+62
- Vliets, KS R+53
- Summerfield, KS R+62
- Oneida, KS R+70
- Bern, KS R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Portia, AR R+72
- Wood, IA R+51
- Laughlintown, PA R+40
- Purcell, MO R+70
- Jones Creek, VA R+15
- Reliance, WY R+68
- Thornwell, LA R+82
- Point Washington, FL R+62
- Vroman, CO R+18
- McSwain, CA R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.