Baker is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Baker typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baker, ~18% vote Democratic, ~95% Republican, and ~-13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baker compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baker is the least Republican-leaning.
Baker runs about 48 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Why Baker leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baker, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Baker hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Montana average of 29%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Baker, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Baker looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Baker have completed high school, about 6 points above the Montana average of 94%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ollie, MT R+78
- Plevna, MT R+78
- Willard, MT R+78
- Marmarth, ND R+75
- Webster, MT R+78
- Ismay, MT R+78
- Golva, ND R+69
- Rhame, ND R+80
- Mill Iron, MT R+78
- Ekalaka, MT R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Saratoga, WY R+54
- Pollocksville, NC R+20
- Benton, MO R+64
- Rock Hall, MD R+12
- Syracuse, KS R+71
- Parsons, WV R+61
- Barnstable, MA D+16
- Graham, GA R+45
- Smithonia, GA R+56
- Little Valley, NY R+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.