Baldwin is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Baldwin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baldwin, ~41% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baldwin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Baldwin sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 189 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 65 leaning the other way.
Baldwin runs about 4 points more Democratic than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baldwin. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the east side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Baldwin leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Baldwin. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Baldwin, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baldwin looks the way it does
Turnout in Baldwin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brentwood, PA D+14
- Pleasant Hills, PA D+6
- Castle Shannon, PA D+10
- Mount Oliver, PA D+41
- West Homestead, PA D+19
- Dormont, PA D+39
- Homestead, PA D+49
- West Mifflin, PA D+5
- Munhall, PA D+17
- Dravosburg, PA R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- East Greenwich, RI D+23
- Crestwood, KY R+24
- Louisville, OH R+37
- Stevenson Ranch, CA D+5
- Mesquite, NV R+19
- Aberdeen, WA Even
- Blue Bell, PA D+27
- Jacksonville, AL R+28
- Newington, VA D+37
- Grain Valley, MO R+26
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.