Bel Air leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Bel Air typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bel Air, ~48% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bel Air compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bel Air is the least Democratic-leaning.
Politically, Bel Air sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bel Air. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+9), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Bel Air leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bel Air, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 77% of adults in Bel Air hold a bachelor's degree, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bel Air, Los Angeles, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bel Air looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bel Air is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brentwood, Los Angeles, CA D+27
- Westwood, Los Angeles, CA D+50
- Sawtelle, Los Angeles, CA D+50
- Century City, Los Angeles, CA D+42
- Beverly Glen, Studio City, CA D+40
- West Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA D+40
- Mid City West, Los Angeles, CA D+49
- Garnsey, Valley Village, CA D+35
- Palms, Los Angeles, CA D+56
- Pico-Robertson, Los Angeles, CA D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Union Hill, Worcester, MA D+29
- Arnett Benson, Lubbock, TX D+11
- Union Square, San Francisco, CA D+59
- Rohnerville, Fortuna, CA D+6
- Oakland, Pittsburgh, PA D+58
- Weinland Park, Columbus, OH D+61
- Moreland, Chicago, IL D+77
- Glenwood, Raleigh, NC D+19
- Cochran's Crossing, The Woodlands, TX R+27
- Grant Ferry, Buffalo, NY D+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.