Bellerose leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Bellerose typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bellerose, ~33% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bellerose compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bellerose leans more Republican than 179 of 255 neighbors.
Bellerose runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Bellerose is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bellerose. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+14) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Bellerose leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bellerose, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bellerose votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Bellerose are family households, above 93% of cities. Bellerose runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Bellerose, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bellerose looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Bellerose have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Floral Park, NY R+8
- South Floral Park, NY D+53
- Stewart Manor, NY R+16
- Elmont, NY D+43
- North New Hyde Park, NY R+12
- Queens Village, NY D+77
- New Hyde Park, NY R+8
- Franklin Square, NY R+30
- Glen Oaks, NY D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jackson, ID R+73
- Lorimor, IA R+49
- Whistler, MS R+67
- Warner Springs, CA R+19
- Yateston, TN R+74
- Tecula, TX R+67
- Great Bend, NY R+16
- Freeman, IN R+52
- Rohrersville, MD R+36
- Birdseye, IN R+56
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.