Bethlehem is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Bethlehem typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bethlehem, ~9% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bethlehem compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bethlehem leans more Republican than 28 of 57 neighbors.
Bethlehem runs about 45 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Bethlehem leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bethlehem, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Bethlehem drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Bethlehem fits that profile on both counts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bethlehem, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bethlehem looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Bethlehem own their home, about 13 points above the Tennessee average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Bethlehem sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Morris Chapel, TN R+72
- Adamsville, TN R+75
- Crump, TN R+73
- Milledgeville, TN R+75
- Gilchrist, TN R+73
- Leapwood, TN R+77
- Walkertown, TN R+76
- Savannah, TN R+64
- Cerro Gordo, TN R+74
- West Shiloh, TN R+81
Cities with Similar Populations
- Knittel, IA R+48
- Allentown, NY R+44
- Margaret, WV R+61
- New Market, MO R+41
- Ponce De Leon, MO R+67
- Schoenchen, KS R+69
- Hatchel, TX R+80
- Hardtner, KS R+74
- Costa, WV R+66
- Hardy, IA R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.