Blackwater is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Blackwater typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blackwater, ~8% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blackwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blackwater leans more Republican than 45 of 98 neighbors.
Blackwater runs about 78 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Blackwater is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Blackwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blackwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blackwater votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Blackwater runs about 78 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Blackwater, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Blackwater looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 77% of adults in Blackwater have completed high school, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodway, VA R+59
- Pennington Gap, VA R+58
- Kyles Ford, TN R+76
- Independence, TN R+75
- Dryden, VA R+65
- Jonesville, VA R+64
- Duffield, VA R+73
- Eidson, TN R+74
- Fraleytown, VA R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ozark, IL R+54
- Banks, AL R+47
- Timbo, AR R+64
- Gaither, AR R+66
- Lawrence, WI R+36
- Mechanicstown, OH R+66
- Escatawpa, MS R+25
- East Alto Bonito, TX R+14
- Menno, SD R+65
- Fincastle, TX R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.