Blair is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Blair typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blair, ~6% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blair compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Blair leans more Republican than 89 of 134 neighbors.
Blair runs about 43 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Blair leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blair, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 96% of residents in Blair drive to work alone, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Blair, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Blair looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 53% of households in Blair rent, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Blair sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 67% of adults in Blair have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Benham, KY R+58
- Linefork, KY R+70
- Cumberland, KY R+68
- Lynch, KY R+56
- Partridge, KY R+73
- Skyline, KY R+69
- Hiram, KY R+78
- Gordon, KY R+70
- Hallie, KY R+67
- Roxana, KY R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Gifford, MO R+69
- Platina, CA R+35
- Elamton, KY R+68
- Eldora, NJ R+44
- Onchiota, NY R+9
- Rural, WI R+28
- Salisbury Junction, PA R+66
- Swiftcurrent, MT D+39
- Glen, WV R+67
- Glencoe, PA R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.