Bonaire leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Bonaire typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bonaire, ~36% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bonaire compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bonaire leans more Republican than 12 of 36 neighbors.
Bonaire runs about 15 points more Republican than Georgia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bonaire. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Bonaire leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bonaire, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bonaire votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 64%, far above the Georgia average of 26%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Bonaire are family households, above 96% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Bonaire, GA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Bonaire looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Bonaire have completed high school, about 9 points above the Georgia average of 86%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kathleen, GA R+19
- Robins AFB, GA R+18
- Warner Robins, GA D+10
- Centerville, GA R+6
- Perry, GA R+16
- Byron, GA R+26
- Hayneville, GA R+61
- Echeconnee, GA R+30
- Franklinton, GA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Round Lake, IL D+12
- Nipomo, CA R+10
- Bloomingdale, IL Even
- Willow Grove, PA D+28
- Heber City, UT R+34
- Suitland, MD D+86
- World Golf Village, FL R+31
- Mukilteo, WA D+20
- Leesburg, GA R+37
- Burlington, WI R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Georgia Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.