Bowling Green is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Bowling Green typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bowling Green, ~15% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bowling Green compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bowling Green leans more Republican than 2 of 55 neighbors.
Bowling Green runs about 33 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bowling Green. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Bowling Green leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bowling Green, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bowling Green votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, modestly above the Missouri average of 22%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Bowling Green, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bowling Green looks the way it does
Turnout in Bowling Green sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tarrants, MO R+62
- St. Clement, MO R+69
- Vera, MO R+64
- Cyrene, MO R+70
- Farmer, MO R+71
- Curryville, MO R+71
- Stark, MO R+65
- Louisville, MO R+69
- Edgewood, MO R+64
- Louisiana, MO R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chelsea, OK R+56
- Eldorado, IL R+49
- Sayre, OK R+65
- Pulaski, NY R+28
- Corral City, TX R+36
- Bear Valley Springs, CA R+38
- Wewahitchka, FL R+69
- Douglass Hills, KY D+6
- Ronan, MT R+20
- Vonore, TN R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.