Buffalo is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Buffalo typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buffalo, ~15% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buffalo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buffalo leans more Republican than 8 of 52 neighbors.
Buffalo runs about 43 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buffalo. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+54), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Buffalo leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Buffalo. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Buffalo, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Buffalo looks the way it does
Turnout in Buffalo sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cloverdale, MO R+65
- Foose, MO R+69
- March, MO R+68
- Halfway, MO R+70
- Goodson, MO R+71
- Schofield, MO R+71
- Louisburg, MO R+71
- Long Lane, MO R+68
- Wall Street, MO R+68
- Rimby, MO R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Walbridge, OH R+19
- Delta, OH R+42
- Glendale, MO D+30
- Limestone, TN R+70
- Everman, TX D+18
- San Diego, TX R+5
- Westmere, NY D+26
- Pecan Plantation, TX R+53
- Kalaheo, HI D+20
- Truth Or Consequences, NM R+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.