Burlington is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Burlington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Burlington, ~14% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Burlington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Burlington leans more Republican than 18 of 55 neighbors.
Burlington runs about 32 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Burlington. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Burlington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Burlington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Burlington hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Local retail density and voter turnout
Places with dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate; Burlington, AR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Nearby retail does not change how people vote; it reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Burlington looks the way it does
Turnout in Burlington sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harrison, AR R+53
- Bellefonte, AR R+67
- Bergman, AR R+68
- Gaither, AR R+66
- Olvey, AR R+69
- Zinc, AR R+68
- Marble Falls, AR R+58
- Everton, AR R+68
- Yardelle, AR R+67
- Western Grove, AR R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ernestville, TN R+71
- New Taiton, TX R+70
- Newdale, WV R+68
- Wellersburg, PA R+73
- Greenmount, KY R+73
- Pritchetts, GA R+69
- Prim, AR R+68
- Gorham, IL R+50
- Goodrich, ME R+32
- Whippleville, NY R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.