Caney Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Caney Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caney Valley, ~6% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caney Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caney Valley leans more Republican than 37 of 43 neighbors.
Caney Valley runs about 45 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Caney Valley leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Caney Valley. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Caney Valley, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Caney Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Caney Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Caney Valley sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Amity, AR R+71
- Glenwood, AR R+67
- Rosboro, AR R+72
- Kirby, AR R+81
- Hopper, AR R+79
- Caddo Gap, AR R+74
- Point Cedar, AR R+68
- Daisy, AR R+82
- Manfred, AR R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alfordsville, IN R+70
- Elamville, AL R+19
- Elba, LA R+82
- Moro Bay, AR R+59
- Emmons, WV R+54
- Voss, ND R+56
- Straight Mountain, AL R+83
- Stranger, TX R+70
- Streeter, TX R+66
- Disco, IL R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.