Carlisle Springs leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Carlisle Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carlisle Springs, ~25% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carlisle Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carlisle Springs leans more Republican than 44 of 135 neighbors.
Carlisle Springs runs about 39 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Carlisle Springs leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Carlisle Springs. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Carlisle Springs, PA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Carlisle Springs looks the way it does
Turnout in Carlisle Springs sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Middlesex, PA R+30
- Schlusser, PA R+19
- Shermans Dale, PA R+56
- Caprivi, PA R+51
- Carlisle, PA R+8
- New Kingstown, PA R+14
- Dellville, PA R+51
- Landisburg, PA R+61
- Little Germany, PA R+60
- Centre, PA R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glen Robbins, OH R+56
- Ruple, LA R+40
- Pleasant Prairie, IA R+36
- East Wilton, ME R+20
- Eolian, TX R+79
- Huntsville, WA R+53
- Green Point, PA R+64
- Ontario, VA R+24
- Chestnut Crossroads, PA R+52
- Errol, NH R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.