Carmichaels leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Carmichaels typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carmichaels, ~24% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carmichaels compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carmichaels leans more Republican than 94 of 195 neighbors.
Carmichaels runs about 41 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Carmichaels leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carmichaels, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Carmichaels drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Carmichaels, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Carmichaels looks the way it does
Turnout in Carmichaels sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ceylon, PA R+51
- Stringtown, PA R+47
- Khedive, PA R+50
- Ronco, PA R+38
- Rices Landing, PA R+41
- Adah, PA R+37
- Crucible, PA R+43
- Isabella, PA R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Pleasant View, CO D+19
- Woodbridge, CA R+23
- Albia, IA R+40
- Eubank, KY R+71
- Bloomfield, IA R+56
- Charlestown, NH R+32
- Rio Bravo, TX R+6
- Hardin, MT R+18
- Maysville, NC R+32
- Stratford, WI R+40
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.