Carta Valley, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Carta Valley

Carta Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.

 
Carta Valley, TX block-group political-lean map
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About 87% of adults in Carta Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carta Valley, ~12% vote Democratic, ~75% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Carta Valley, TX block-group voter-turnout map
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Colorblind friendly off

How Carta Valley compares

Carta Valley sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable cities nearby.

Carta Valley runs about 57 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carta Valley. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 22 points.

Why Carta Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carta Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Carta Valley live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the Texas average of 35%.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Carta Valley, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Carta Valley looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Carta Valley own their home, about 22 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Carta Valley sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.