Casablanca leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Casablanca typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Casablanca, ~30% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Casablanca compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Casablanca leans more Democratic than 14 of 17 neighbors.
Politically, Casablanca sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Casablanca. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+24) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Casablanca leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Casablanca. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Casablanca, Riverside, CA sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Casablanca looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Casablanca is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Casablanca report food insecurity, above 81% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Casablanca have completed high school, below 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Magnolia Center, Riverside, CA D+8
- Arlington Heights, Riverside, CA R+8
- Presidential Park, Riverside, CA D+5
- Victoria, Riverside, CA D+3
- Ramona, Riverside, CA D+7
- Alessandro Heights, Riverside, CA R+18
- Grand, Riverside, CA D+4
- Wood Streets, Riverside, CA D+17
- Airport, Riverside, CA D+9
- Arlington South, Riverside, CA R+2
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Parkhill, Mobile, AL R+35
- Norkirk, Kirkland, WA D+49
- North Overton, Lubbock, TX D+13
- Beat 2535, Chicago, IL D+54
- Downtown, Albuquerque, NM D+57
- Serra Highlands, South San Francisco, CA D+43
- East Campus, Columbia, MO D+44
- Harvard Place-Eastlawn, San Antonio, TX D+52
- Berkleigh, Mobile, AL R+24
- Tuscan Lakes, League City, TX R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.