Celina Main Street Historic District leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Celina Main Street Historic District typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Celina Main Street Historic District, ~21% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Celina Main Street Historic District compares
Celina Main Street Historic District runs about 37 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Celina Main Street Historic District. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Celina Main Street Historic District leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Celina Main Street Historic District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Celina Main Street Historic District sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Celina Main Street Historic District fits that profile on both counts.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Celina Main Street Historic District, Celina, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Celina Main Street Historic District looks the way it does
Turnout in Celina Main Street Historic District sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Sidney Walnut Avenue Historic District, Sidney, OH R+37
- Greenville South Broadway Historic District, Greenville, OH R+41
- Piqua Historic District, Piqua, OH R+38
- Hobart Circle Historic District, Troy, OH R+23
- Pettit-Rudisill, Fort Wayne, IN D+61
- Oxford, Fort Wayne, IN D+67
- Arlington Park, Fort Wayne, IN R+19
- West Central, Fort Wayne, IN D+31
- Northside, Fort Wayne, IN D+17
- Bloomingdale, Fort Wayne, IN D+3
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Jonestown, Baltimore, MD D+68
- West Central, Springfield, MO D+10
- Circleville Historic District, Circleville, OH R+23
- Cascade Highlands, Vancouver, WA D+15
- Lagonda, Springfield, OH R+18
- Riverside-Everett, Everett, WA D+22
- Olde Orchard, Columbus, OH D+35
- Junction West, Roseville, CA R+11
- Jungle Terrace, St. Petersburg, FL R+8
- Middle River Terrace, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.