Centerville leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Centerville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville, ~19% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centerville leans more Republican than 61 of 63 neighbors.
Centerville runs about 41 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Centerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Centerville hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the North Carolina average of 27%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Centerville, NC sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Centerville looks the way it does
Turnout in Centerville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gupton, NC R+28
- Wood, NC R+15
- Hickory Rock, NC R+27
- Castalia, NC R+16
- Alert, NC D+4
- Lancaster Crossroads, NC R+25
- Matthews Crossroads, NC R+2
- Justice, NC R+15
- Ita, NC D+42
- Ingleside, NC R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woodruff, IN R+66
- Scott, MS R+21
- Whiteville, OH R+49
- Jackson Hill, IN R+60
- Independence, IN R+59
- Dallas, AR R+64
- Iola, PA R+54
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.