Central Square leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Central Square typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central Square, ~26% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central Square compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Central Square leans more Republican than 52 of 112 neighbors.
Central Square runs about 42 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Central Square is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Central Square. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Central Square leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Central Square drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Central Square runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Central Square, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Central Square looks the way it does
Turnout in Central Square sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hastings Center, NY R+30
- Mallory, NY R+37
- Hastings, NY R+38
- Pennellville, NY R+23
- West Monroe, NY R+34
- Brewerton, NY R+9
- Sand Ridge, NY R+20
- East Palermo, NY R+48
- Little France, NY R+40
- Wrights Corners, NY R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Springfield, VT R+9
- Union Gap, WA R+8
- Timnath, CO R+4
- Oak Harbor, OH R+36
- Hampden, ME R+4
- Whitwell, TN R+70
- Goshen, KY R+17
- Breckenridge, TX R+66
- Homestead Meadows South, TX D+8
- Lake Lorraine, FL R+29
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.