Chestnut Gap is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Chestnut Gap typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Gap, ~10% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chestnut Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chestnut Gap leans more Republican than 67 of 99 neighbors.
Chestnut Gap runs about 43 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Chestnut Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chestnut Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 1% of adults in Chestnut Gap hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Kentucky average of 19%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 89% of residents in Chestnut Gap drive to work alone, above 91% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Chestnut Gap, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Chestnut Gap looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Chestnut Gap sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Booneville, KY R+70
- Scoville, KY R+71
- Pebworth, KY R+70
- Levi, KY R+70
- Cowcreek, KY R+72
- Endee, KY R+80
- Ricetown, KY R+75
- Idamay, KY R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Big Run, PA R+58
- Richville, NY R+44
- Nick, KY R+65
- Manlyville, TN R+70
- Plainville, IL R+68
- Canadys, SC R+33
- Hillsdale, IN R+60
- Wando, SC R+2
- Kinards, SC R+43
- Vienna, MD R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.