China Grove leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 74% of adults in China Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in China Grove, ~26% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How China Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, China Grove leans more Republican than 28 of 45 neighbors.
China Grove runs about 17 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within China Grove. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 12 points.
Why China Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for China Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
China Grove votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; China Grove, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in China Grove looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in China Grove own their home, about 18 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and China Grove sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kirby, TX D+20
- Converse, TX D+17
- Adkins, TX R+47
- St. Hedwig, TX R+38
- Terrell Hills, TX R+9
- Windcrest, TX D+4
- Saspamco, TX R+35
- Alamo Heights, TX D+7
- Randolph AFB, TX R+6
- Olmos Park, TX D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Latexo, TX R+78
- Fort Supply, OK R+76
- Oak Ridge, IL R+32
- Cherokee, OK R+70
- Otis, CO R+73
- Munnsville, NY R+42
- Bernstadt, KY R+72
- Randolph, MN R+38
- Strunk, KY R+80
- Gettysburg, SD R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.