Church Road is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Church Road typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Road, ~19% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Church Road compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Church Road is the most Republican-leaning.
Church Road runs about 58 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Church Road is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Church Road. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Church Road leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Church Road, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Church Road drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Church Road runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Church Road, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Church Road looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Church Road is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Five Forks, VA R+51
- Sutherland, VA R+30
- Ford, VA R+40
- Ammon, VA R+30
- Dinwiddie, VA R+16
- Dewitt, VA R+29
- Wilsons, VA R+39
- Matoaca, VA R+9
- West Petersburg, VA R+6
- Petersburg, VA D+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wampum, PA R+47
- Andover, NY R+42
- McCammon, ID R+64
- Grantham, NC R+59
- Bokchito, OK R+73
- South Weare, NH R+14
- South Middleboro, MA R+19
- Swayzee, IN R+55
- Saxapahaw, NC R+32
- Barton, VT R+20
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.