Clay leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Clay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clay, ~38% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clay leans more Republican than 13 of 82 neighbors.
Clay runs about 25 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clay. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+47), a spread of about 72 points.
Why Clay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Clay drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Clay are family households, above 91% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Clay, AL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Clay looks the way it does
Turnout in Clay sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pinson, AL R+14
- Trussville, AL R+40
- Center Point, AL D+67
- Argo, AL R+58
- Village Springs, AL R+56
- Remlap, AL R+82
- Margaret, AL R+53
- Springville Lake Estates, AL R+80
- Moody, AL R+53
- Morris, AL R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Highland City, FL R+29
- Damascus, OR R+6
- Brandon, SD R+28
- Lansdowne, VA D+23
- Guttenberg, NJ D+20
- Newport East, RI D+15
- Falmouth, ME D+31
- Woodmere, NY R+56
- Herrin, IL R+35
- Stevensville, MD R+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.