Clay leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Clay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clay, ~24% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clay leans more Republican than 89 of 159 neighbors.
Clay runs about 42 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Clay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clay votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, modestly below the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Clay are family households, above 89% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Clay, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Clay looks the way it does
Turnout in Clay sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hopeland, PA R+44
- Schoeneck, PA R+58
- Ephrata, PA R+29
- Poplar Grove, PA R+51
- Akron, PA R+22
- Kleinfeltersville, PA R+62
- Stevens, PA R+45
- Lititz, PA R+16
- Penryn, PA R+45
- Reamstown, PA R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Dennis, NJ R+27
- Ackerly, TX R+80
- Alamo, IN R+61
- Beals, ME R+27
- Summerfield, OK R+72
- Fords Creek, MS R+75
- Penfield, GA R+10
- Wickett, TX R+73
- Forest Beach, WA D+4
- Paton, IA R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.