Collins, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Collins

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Collins leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Collins typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Collins, ~28% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Collins compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Collins leans more Republican than 9 of 90 neighbors.

Collins runs about 21 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Collins is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Collins. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+41), a spread of about 50 points.

Why Collins leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Collins, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Collins votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, modestly below the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Collins sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 94% of cities). Collins runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Collins, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Collins looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Collins is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 17 points below the New York average of 64%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Collins report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Collins have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.