Cottondale leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Cottondale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cottondale, ~19% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cottondale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cottondale leans more Republican than 10 of 37 neighbors.
Cottondale runs about 35 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cottondale. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Cottondale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cottondale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Cottondale hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Florida average of 31%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cottondale, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Cottondale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cottondale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kynesville, FL R+60
- Jacob City, FL R+37
- Jacobs, FL D+27
- Alford, FL R+74
- Bradford, FL R+75
- Marianna, FL R+32
- Chipley, FL R+60
- Campbellton, FL D+28
- Graceville, FL R+53
- Sills, FL R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pisgah, AL R+78
- Benton Heights, MI D+55
- Bradford, OH R+64
- Casey, IL R+56
- Somerville, OH R+63
- Ely, IA R+17
- Three Forks, MT R+46
- Leesburg, NJ D+13
- Lowell, NC R+20
- Louisiana, MO R+40
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.