Denver is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Denver typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Denver, ~39% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Denver compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Denver sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 21 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 71 leaning the other way.
Denver runs about 13 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Denver sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Denver. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Denver leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Denver, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Denver votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Denver runs about 13 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Denver, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Denver looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Denver is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roxbury, NY R+4
- Halcottsville, NY Even
- Fleischmanns, NY R+5
- Grand Gorge, NY R+12
- Prattsville, NY R+17
- New Kingston, NY D+6
- Red Falls, NY R+32
- Hobart, NY Even
- Margaretville, NY Even
- Arkville, NY R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Red Cliff, WI D+60
- Niantic, IL R+51
- Cobb, OK R+64
- Bridgewater, SD R+57
- White Mound, TX R+70
- Delray, WV R+69
- Camp Creek, TN R+72
- Lynch, KY R+56
- Ira, VA R+70
- Butte Falls, OR R+40
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.