Dover is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~18% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 38 of 84 neighbors.
Dover runs about 32 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Why Dover leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dover, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Dover drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Dover, IN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dover is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ulen, IN R+45
- Lebanon, IN R+35
- Stringtown, IN R+46
- Milledgeville, IN R+55
- Herr, IN R+46
- Pike, IN R+52
- Elizaville, IN R+53
- Whitestown, IN R+9
- Max, IN R+56
- Fayette, IN R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alborn, MN R+17
- Curlew, IA R+54
- Danville, LA R+35
- Crecy, TX R+73
- Patsburg, AL R+21
- Dalton, KS R+67
- Starkville, CO R+24
- Selea, PA R+74
- Weavertown, PA R+25
- Hartville, WY R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.