Dunkirk is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Dunkirk typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dunkirk, ~14% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dunkirk compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dunkirk leans more Republican than 25 of 73 neighbors.
Dunkirk runs about 48 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Dunkirk leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dunkirk, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Dunkirk, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Ohio average of 23%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Dunkirk, OH sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dunkirk looks the way it does
Turnout in Dunkirk sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Williamstown, OH R+60
- Dola, OH R+63
- Forest, OH R+60
- Patterson, OH R+64
- Arlington, OH R+55
- Jenera, OH R+59
- Grant, OH R+65
- Foraker, OH R+67
- Mount Blanchard, OH R+62
- Maysville, OH R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Essex, IL R+47
- Olivehill, TN R+76
- Pilot Hill, CA R+22
- Fort Duchesne, UT R+29
- Tidwell, TN R+58
- Ballard, UT R+71
- Roscoe, NY R+18
- Point Venture, TX R+5
- Mount Desert, ME D+37
- Cool Valley, MO D+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.