East Bernard is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 67% of adults in East Bernard typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Bernard, ~15% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Bernard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Bernard leans more Republican than 37 of 48 neighbors.
East Bernard runs about 42 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Bernard. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 23 points.
Why East Bernard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Bernard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in East Bernard drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; East Bernard, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in East Bernard looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Bernard is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kendleton, TX Even
- Wallis, TX R+54
- Hungerford, TX R+25
- Beasley, TX R+29
- Orchard, TX R+36
- Lissie, TX R+31
- Egypt, TX D+10
- Simonton, TX R+45
- Weston Lakes, TX R+50
- Sorrelle, TX R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cape Charles, VA R+4
- Camden, NC R+47
- Valdez, AK R+33
- Jackson, MN R+28
- Chester, WV R+51
- Las Animas, CO R+19
- North Hampton, NH D+7
- North Barrington, IL D+6
- Clearlake Oaks, CA Even
- North Shore, LA D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.