Ellis Prairie is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Ellis Prairie typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellis Prairie, ~9% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellis Prairie compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellis Prairie leans more Republican than 27 of 43 neighbors.
Ellis Prairie runs about 53 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Ellis Prairie leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellis Prairie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Ellis Prairie hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Ellis Prairie is about 94%, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Ellis Prairie, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ellis Prairie looks the way it does
Turnout in Ellis Prairie sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roubidoux, MO R+71
- Bucyrus, MO R+70
- Houston, MO R+66
- Upton, MO R+71
- Roby, MO R+71
- Licking, MO R+61
- Blooming Rose, MO R+72
- Huggins, MO R+71
- Oscar, MO R+68
- Plato, MO R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ocean Springs, FL R+42
- Fernwood, MS D+41
- Gunder, IA R+41
- Monterey, NE R+69
- Wayland, OH R+46
- Buckroe, MI R+4
- Spirit, WI R+41
- Whites, MS R+10
- Elkfork, KY R+67
- Oakland, AL R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.