Ellisville is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Ellisville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellisville, ~13% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellisville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellisville leans more Republican than 67 of 95 neighbors.
Ellisville runs about 31 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Ellisville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellisville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Ellisville, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Ellisville, KY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Ellisville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Ellisville own their home, about 13 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carlisle, KY R+59
- Pleasant Valley, KY R+64
- Piqua, KY R+60
- Myers, KY R+62
- Cowan, KY R+66
- Headquarters, KY R+62
- Morning Glory, KY R+63
- Ewing, KY R+65
- Hooktown, KY R+62
- Claysville, KY R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lanark, WV R+59
- Green Grass, SD D+14
- Alcova, WY R+74
- Yellowbud, OH R+55
- Pontiac, MO R+64
- Nellie, OH R+60
- Rawson, CA R+41
- Benton City, MO R+65
- Crookston, NE R+76
- Sherry, TX R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.