Elmer is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Elmer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmer, ~17% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmer leans more Republican than 45 of 49 neighbors.
Elmer runs about 57 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Elmer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Elmer hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Elmer, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Elmer looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Elmer own their home, about 9 points above the Michigan average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Snover, MI R+60
- Sandusky, MI R+44
- Decker, MI R+60
- Watertown, MI R+57
- Marlette, MI R+46
- Hemans, MI R+57
- McGregor, MI R+55
- Argyle, MI R+61
- Shabbona, MI R+61
- Peck, MI R+53
Cities with Similar Populations
- Howlett Hill, NY R+5
- Agate, CO R+58
- Harrisville, OH R+61
- Kimballton, IA R+55
- Rixford, FL R+64
- Rainey, MS R+79
- Brookville, KS R+66
- Pella, WI R+48
- Rimforest, CA R+18
- New Prospect, AL R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.